Nothing good. It's almost a foregone conclusion that the First Circuit will rule against us. The only questions is how hard are they willing to work in order to pollute the case enough so that we won't want to petition the Supreme Court. They're pretty crafty and I don't think there's a single judge in this circuit that is even remotely open to the idea the Supreme Court might have gotten Heller correct.
The good news is that the district court treated us reasonable fairly. We didn't get the decision we wanted, but the record is solid. The court followed the pack take any shortcuts. There's a circuit split on right-to-carry. The First Circuit is the only one that hasn't reached an opinion yet and the district court judge basically followed the majority.
Except for the First Circuit, the other circuits have either ruled on this issue or won't have the opportunity because the lack restrictive carry laws. The circuits that have ruled against us have either held that the Second Amendment is a homebound right or that the challenged regulations are 'reasonable' and do not constitute an infringement.
The current circuit scoreboard is:
- Against us - 4: (2nd, 3rd, 4th, 9th)
- For us - 2: (7th, DC)
- Undecided - 1: (1st)
- Not voting - 5: (5th, 6th, 8th, 10th, 11th)
One would think that once the First Circuit weighs in the voting would be complete and the Supreme Court might finally take this issue on. Maybe. But given the court's recent reluctance to do anything controversial, they may just be content to let different standards apply for a few decades.
ETA: It's also interesting to note that the defendants have hired on a big DC law firm with a significant Supreme Court practice.