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What would Finnish and Swedish NATO membership mean for the milsurp market?

  • Thread starter Deleted member 67409
  • Start date
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Deleted member 67409

Assuming for argument's sake that Finland and Sweden join NATO and aren't invaded any time soon, what would their NATO memberships mean for the milsurp gun market here in the US?

The Finnish military is still standardized on the 7.62x39 Rk 62. Finland also has per Wikipedia:

*20,000 Rk 95s;
*100,000 East German AKMs;
*Unknown amounts of Soviet AKs both in 7.62x39 and 5.45; and
*100,000 Chinese Type 56s.

Plus other older, obsolescent guns like FN HP-DAs and SVDs.

Finland would have to move towards 5.56 or potentially 6.8x51 after joining NATO. I could see them getting rid of the older, less serviceable guns, like the Type 56s, DDR AKs, and older Rk 62s. There currently isn't any reason for why those guns as parts kits, or in some cases whole guns, couldn't come into the US. For instance, the reasons why we here in the US can't get ahold of SVDs is because of the Clinton-Yeltsin treaty and sanctions against Russia. The FEG-reboot SVD kerfuffle from last year showed that non-Russian sources for SVDs were still an option. Though ATF does require modifications made to the SVD fire controls (Mishaco and Forgotten Weapons talk about this). I could see Finland keeping the more serviceable guns in storage and selling the older guns to generate cash. Question is whether the guns go to the US consumer market or say... Ukraine or a third world country as an aid package.

Sweden is already standardized on 5.56 and 7.62x51. However, they'd likely up their military budget to the NATO target of 2% of the annual budget. Sweden's military guns are fairly dated, like the G3 and FNC. The modernization package for the G3 is pretty expensive (one word: Spuhr) and probably not viable to be applied in the event of a Swedish military expansion. Similarly, the FNC is a pretty old design and I could see Sweden wanting something much newer to replace the FNCs. Given that real HK G3-pattern guns and FNCs are pretty expensive here in the US, I could see a small importer, say Atlantic, getting in on importing a few batches of Swedish G3 and FNC kits, or offering 922(r) compliant completed guns for sale that were assembled by them in-house.
 
Do they have any lend lease stuff,
Are they really out of K31s and Finn Mosin
Ammo ? Is there x39 corrosive

Any how Im sure it will go to the highest bidder
 
Do they have any lend lease stuff,
Are they really out of K31s and Finn Mosin
Ammo ? Is there x39 corrosive

Finland and Sweden never got Lend-Lease because the Finns were on their own, then part of the Axis, then on their own again, and Sweden's been neutral since 1816. The bolt guns all got exported to here during the 50s and 60s, though Swedish stuff kept trickling in until the 90s. And how did Swiss guns get into this? Lol
 
Do you realize that with the current administration, they would ban any importation of arms or kits to the US?

So we'd never see any of that surplus stuff here.

(1) Guns and parts are still coming in from NATO members such as Poland, Bulgaria, Croatia, and Germany. Springfield literally just started importing the VHS-2 from Croatia. Further, guns and parts are also still coming in from non-NATO countries, such as Serbia and Switzerland. Is the political climate more hostile? Yes, but Finland and Sweden aren't Russia, where there was pre-existing political beef to deny import permits.

(2) This is going to take time. These are two fairly small countries with small budgets. They would have to adopt new rifles in new cartridges (say Sweden wants in on 6.8, and Finland obviously has to change). And if the Ukraine war goes for more than this year, a lot of this old surplus will end up there, if it hasn't yet went already.

Is it possible for these hypothetical import permits to be arbitrarily denied? Yes. Are there any geopolitical grounds to do so when dealing with probably brand new allies? Absolutely not.

As of this moment, there's no historic or legal precedent for blocking the import of parts kits from friendly nations. Could that change? Yes. But as of now, the Treasury Department would have no tangible reason to kill the deal, provided all the applicable laws are followed.
 
Finland and Sweden never got Lend-Lease because the Finns were on their own, then part of the Axis, then on their own again, and Sweden's been neutral since 1816. The bolt guns all got exported to here during the 50s and 60s, though Swedish stuff kept trickling in until the 90s. And how did Swiss guns get into this? Lol
Isn't Swiss a small, gun manufacturing hamlet in Sweden?
 
I DON'T THINK THERE IS MUCH YOU COULD IMPORT TODAY AND LESS IN A FEW MONTHS. C&R STUFF HAS BEEN PICKED OVER TILL BARN IS EMPTY ACCORDING TO THE PEOPLE I TALK TO OVER THERE.

SORRY FOR THE CAPS. STUCK KEY.
 
Isn't Swiss a small, gun manufacturing hamlet in Sweden?
How did they get in ?

Because they cool as hell !

L0Iu6Np.jpg
 
You may want to count the crowns stamped onto the heel. Every crown means a depot refurbishment which came along with a new barrel, so at least the barrels are usually force matched. That said, they are awesome shooters.
 
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