The Surprising Geography of Gun Violence

[Lokdog]

Exactly. It should be measured demographically. Like how many gun homicides per square mile than by 100,000 residents. But they don't want that because Philly, Baltimore, and the king of shitholes Chicago would glow right off the map. That's why heyjackass is such a great site for showing the areas that resemble Ukraine

 

[Mesatchornug]

Exactly. It should be measured demographically. Like how many gun homicides per square mile than by 100,000 residents. But they don't want that because Philly, Baltimore, and the king of shitholes Chicago would glow right off the map. That's why heyjackass is such a great site for showing the areas that resemble Ukraine

That would be an interesting study.

It also wouldn't be possible with the available CDC data (nor FBI, probably).

And would be testing a different hypothesis.

 

[drgrant]

How do you explain Alaska being bright red, while having few POC?

I think Malcolm Gladwell wrote a book about how the culture of the arriving immigrants predicted behavior and beliefs in different areas of the US.

Low population period so every hunting accident or suicide makes it look stupid. The means of displaying the data is distorted.

This isn't really a poc thing just another poor survey with overly broad brush definition of "gun violence" .

 

[MaverickNH]

I hadn’t noticed FBI had changed from their UCR data to NIBRS in 2021 - much of what we see about crime is pretty dodgy now. That doesn’t stop academics and the media from making tables, charts and graphs, with little asterisks not quite saying the data are shit, with pundits, politicians and people still forming opinions on what it all means.

What Can FBI Data Say About Crime in 2021? It’s Too Unreliable to Tell

The transition to a new data system creates huge gaps in national crime stats sure to be exploited by politicians in this election year.

www.themarshallproject.org

”In 2021, the FBI retired its nearly century-old national crime data collection program, the Summary Reporting System used by the Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program. The agency switched to a new system, the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), which gathers more specific information on each incident. Even though the FBI announced the transition years ago and the federal government spent hundreds of millions of dollars to help local police make the switch, about 7,000 of the nation’s 18,000 law enforcement agencies did not successfully send crime data to the voluntary program last year.”



The Marshall Project reported ”When the FBI released its 2021 national crime data last fall, it couldn’t say if crime went up, went down, or stayed the same. The FBI concluded that all three scenarios could be possible because of the gaps in the data collection.”

The Atlantic figured it would be a mess for the next years to come.

The FBI’s Next Set of Crime Data Is Going to Be a Big Mess

National crime estimates in the next few years will carry more uncertainty than ever before.

www.theatlantic.com

And 2022 seems no better ”…a quarter of the U.S. population wasn't represented in the federal crime data last year, according to The Marshall Project’s analysis.”

Many Large U.S. Police Agencies Are Missing from FBI Crime Data

Here are four reasons to worry about the missing national crime data.

www.themarshallproject.org

 

[Token_Black_Guy]

View attachment 791911

Aye we out here

 

[NHCraigT]

MSN

Gun Violence Declared a Public Health Emergency
Gun violence has been declared a public health emergency in New Mexico following the death of an 11-year-old boy.
New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham made the announcement following the death of a young boy in a shooting on a highway. Albuquerque Police Chief Harold Medina confirmed in a press briefing that a boy was killed and a second woman was taken to hospital in critical condition. They were attacked while traveling westbound on Avenida Cesar Chavez near University Boulevard. Neither of the victims have been named.
Declaring a public health emergency, Lujan Grisham shared a statement lamenting the death of the boy and the earlier unrelated killing of a five-year-old girl in the area. "Today, I join the family of an 11-year-old boy in mourning his violent death yesterday. And I mourn the loss of a 5-year-old girl murdered in her bed last month," the statement read....

​

 

[Kevin_NH]

The shooting took place just before 9 pm, and apparently began with “some type of altercation,” possibly when the car in which the child was riding made a U-turn in front of a suspect’s vehicle, said Albuquerque Police Chief Harold Medina during a Thursday morning news conference. Medina said someone fired 17 shots at the family’s SUV near the intersection of Avenida Cesar Chavez and University Boulevard and 14 bullets hit the vehicle, with one striking the child in the front seat in the head. “We are asking for the public’s help in this...if somebody has seen something or somebody knows something, we ask that you notify law enforcement and you let us know,” Medina said. Police are looking for a dark-colored Dodge Durango SRT...

Is this the new MLK Boulevard?

The governor signed an executive order on Thursday to declare gun violence a public health emergency, noting that guns are the leading cause of death of children in the state.

That sentence only approaches the truth if Gov. Michelle carefully redefines both "children" and "gun violence' to fit the narrative.

 

[MaverickNH]

I finally just read it, rather than responding to the included image.

It feels like a correlation study that's trying really hard to squeeze out causation. Considering how much the author needs to remind us about the ways the CDC anonymizes the data, it really just makes me think about how low on the "-logy" scale sociology is.

I like his theory about the nations inside the US. I think it does provide information about how and why we have such regional differences in this county. I also tend to agree with the Big Sort theory.

In the end, the article feels like there's some dog wagging going on...

Average IQ by College Major (1970s)

Razib Khan and Emil Kirkegaard have estimated the average IQ by college major using GRE and SAT scores, though I am fortunate enough to possess the Project Talent dataset, which has both IQ scores (measured at ages 12-18, for most) and college majors. They also test verbal/visual/mathematical...

www.sebjenseb.net

Ran across this from a Charles Murray Tweet. I never expected PE teachers to be brainiacs - one of the teachers who most influenced my youth was a PE teacher. But Social Scientists are down there with HomeEc…

 

[Mesatchornug]

Average IQ by College Major (1970s)

Razib Khan and Emil Kirkegaard have estimated the average IQ by college major using GRE and SAT scores, though I am fortunate enough to possess the Project Talent dataset, which has both IQ scores (measured at ages 12-18, for most) and college majors. They also test verbal/visual/mathematical...

www.sebjenseb.net

Ran across this from a Charles Murray Tweet. I never expected PE teachers to be brainiacs - one of the teachers who most influenced my youth was a PE teacher. But Social Scientists are down there with HomeEc…

View attachment 794529

Woof.

And here I am, dragging my field again. Otherwise, I'm sure there'd be a three-way tie with the medics and chemists.