- Mar 26, 2010
- Heading for greener pastures
First off, he asked a semi snarky question, so I gave a semi snarky answer.That wasn't really the comparison. They compared how contagious this virus is to H1N1 and specifically the fact that you are fairly contagious even without symptoms. This results in a virus that is very difficult if not impossible to stop, and eventually we should expect widespread community transmission. The SARS strain was quite a bit more lethal, at the moment this falls somewhere in the middle. I think its important to note that he specifies different fatality rates for Wuhan, for elsewhere in china, and for the rest of the world. This indicates that the severe cases (15-20%) are not certain death, but depend on proper healthcare.
It's a numbers game, if everyone gets it, then eventually the mortality rate approaches a maximum as healthcare becomes overwhelmed.
Do not confuse the fact that it BEHAVES like the H1N1 flu with it being it being biologically similar. It is a different family of virus and flu medication will likely have zero positive effect on it.
IMO, this will spread around the world and be part of seasonal flu. Then no one will care, just like people aren't freaking out about the high H1N1 component to this year's seasonal flu. We have over 10,000 dead In the US from this year's flu. The current possibly slightly higher death rate could be simply because it is new and we have no built in immunity to it.